A benchmark of data stream classification for human activity recognition on connected objects

This paper evaluates data stream classifiers from the perspective of connected devices, focusing on the use case of HAR. We measure both classification performance and resource consumption (runtime, memory, and power) of five usual stream classification algorithms, implemented in a consistent library, and applied to two real human activity datasets and to three synthetic datasets. Regarding classification performance, results show an overall superiority of the HT, the MF, and the NB classifiers over the FNN and the Micro Cluster Nearest Neighbor (MCNN) classifiers on 4 datasets out of 6, including the real ones. In addition, the HT, and to some extent MCNN, are the only classifiers that can recover from a concept drift. Overall, the three leading classifiers still perform substantially lower than an offline classifier on the real datasets. Regarding resource consumption, the HT and the MF are the most memory intensive and have the longest runtime, however, no difference in power consumption is found between classifiers. We conclude that stream learning for HAR on connected objects is challenged by two factors which could lead to interesting future work: a high memory consumption and low F1 scores overall.

Can we Estimate Truck Accident Risk from Telemetric Data using Machine Learning?

Road accidents have a high societal cost that could be reduced through improved risk predictions using machine learning. This study investigates whether telemetric data collected on long-distance trucks can be used to predict the risk of accidents associated with a driver. We use a dataset provided by a truck transportation company containing the driving data of 1,141 drivers for 18 months. We evaluate two different machine learning approaches to perform this task. In the first approach, features are extracted from the time series data using the FRESH algorithm and then used to estimate the risk using Random Forests. In the second approach, we use a convolutional neural network to directly estimate the risk from the time-series data. We find that neither approach is able to successfully estimate the risk of accidents on this dataset, in spite of many methodological attempts. We discuss the difficulties of using telemetric data for the estimation of the risk of accidents that could explain this negative result.

High-Resolution Road Vehicle Collision Prediction for the City of Montreal

Road accidents are an important issue of our modern societies, responsible for millions of deaths and injuries every year in the world. In Quebec only, road accidents are responsible for hundreds of deaths and tens of thousands of injuries. In this paper, we show how one can leverage open datasets of a city like Montreal, Canada, to create high-resolution accident prediction models, using state-of-the-art big data analytics. Compared to other studies in road accident prediction, we have a much higher prediction resolution, i.e., our models predict the occurrence of an accident within an hour, on road segments defined by intersections. Such models could be used in the context of road accident prevention, but also to identify key factors that can lead to a road accident, and consequently, help elaborate new policies. We tested various machine learning methods to deal with the severe class imbalance inherent to accident prediction problems. In particular, we implemented the Balanced Random Forest algorithm, a variant of the Random Forest machine learning algorithm in Apache Spark. Experimental results show that 85% of road vehicle collisions are detected by our model with a false positive rate of 13%. The examples identified as positive are likely to correspond to high-risk situations. In addition, we identify the most important predictors of vehicle collisions for the area of Montreal: the count of accidents on the same road segment during previous years, the temperature, the day of the year, the hour and the visibility.

Subject Cross Validation in Human Activity Recognition

K-fold Cross Validation is commonly used to evaluate classifiers and tune their hyperparameters. However, it assumes that data points are Independent and Identically Distributed (i.i.d.) so that samples used in the training and test sets can be selected randomly and uniformly. In Human Activity Recognition datasets, we note that the samples produced by the same subjects are likely to be correlated due to diverse factors. Hence, k-fold cross validation may overestimate the performance of activity recognizers, in particular when overlapping sliding windows are used. In this paper, we investigate the effect of Subject Cross Validation on the performance of Human Activity Recognition, both with non-overlapping and with overlapping sliding windows. Results show that k-fold cross validation artificially increases the performance of recognizers by about 10%, and even by 16% when overlapping windows are used. In addition, we do not observe any performance gain from the use of overlapping windows. We conclude that Human Activity Recognition systems should be evaluated by Subject Cross Validation, and that overlapping windows are not worth their extra computational cost.

Data models for service failure prediction in supply-chain networks

We aim to predict and explain service failures in supply-chain networks, more precisely among last-mile pickup and delivery services to customers. We analyze a dataset of 500,000 services using (1) supervised classification with Random Forests, and (2) Association Rules. Our classifier reaches an average sensitivity of 0.7 and an average specificity of 0.7 for the 5 studied types of failure. Association Rules reassert the importance of confirmation calls to prevent failures due to customers not at home, show the importance of the time window size, slack time, and geographical location of the customer for the other failure types, and highlight the effect of the retailer company on several failure types. To reduce the occurrence of service failures, our data models could be coupled to optimizers, or used to define counter-measures to be taken by human dispatchers.

Predicting computational reproducibility of data analysis pipelines in large population studies using collaborative filtering

Evaluating the computational reproducibility of data analysis pipelines has become a critical issue. It is, however, a cumbersome process for analyses that involve data from large populations of subjects, due to their computational and storage requirements. We present a method to predict the computational reproducibility of data analysis pipelines in large population studies. We formulate the problem as a collaborative filtering process, with constraints on the construction of the training set. We propose 6 different strategies to build the training set, which we evaluate on 2 datasets, a synthetic one modeling a population with a growing number of subject types, and a real one obtained with neuroinformatics pipelines. Results show that one sampling method, "Random File Numbers (Uniform)" is able to predict computational reproducibility with a good accuracy. We also analyze the relevance of including file and subject biases in the collaborative filtering model. We conclude that the proposed method is able to speedup reproducibility evaluations substantially, with a reduced accuracy loss.