Over the past few years, due to the rapid development of machine learning (ML) models for weather forecasting, state-of-the-art ML models have shown superior performance compared to the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)'s high-resolution forecast (HRES) in 10-day forecasts at a spatial resolution of 0.25 degree. However, the challenge remains to perform comparably to the ECMWF ensemble mean (EM) in 15-day forecasts. Previous studies have demonstrated the importance of mitigating the accumulation of forecast errors for effective long-term forecasts. Despite numerous efforts to reduce accumulation errors, including autoregressive multi-time step loss, using a single model is found to be insufficient to achieve optimal performance in both short and long lead times. Therefore, we present FuXi, a cascaded ML weather forecasting system that provides 15-day global forecasts with a temporal resolution of 6 hours and a spatial resolution of 0.25 degree. FuXi is developed using 39 years of the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis dataset. The performance evaluation, based on latitude-weighted root mean square error (RMSE) and anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC), demonstrates that FuXi has comparable forecast performance to ECMWF EM in 15-day forecasts, making FuXi the first ML-based weather forecasting system to accomplish this achievement.
Recent advances for few-shot text classification aim to wrap textual inputs with task-specific prompts to cloze questions. By processing them with a masked language model to predict the masked tokens and using a verbalizer that constructs the mapping between predicted words and target labels. This approach of using pre-trained language models is called prompt-based tuning, which could remarkably outperform conventional fine-tuning approach in the low-data scenario. As the core of prompt-based tuning, the verbalizer is usually handcrafted with human efforts or suboptimally searched by gradient descent. In this paper, we focus on automatically constructing the optimal verbalizer and propose a novel evolutionary verbalizer search (EVS) algorithm, to improve prompt-based tuning with the high-performance verbalizer. Specifically, inspired by evolutionary algorithm (EA), we utilize it to automatically evolve various verbalizers during the evolutionary procedure and select the best one after several iterations. Extensive few-shot experiments on five text classification datasets show the effectiveness of our method.
The perception module of self-driving vehicles relies on a multi-sensor system to understand its environment. Recent advancements in deep learning have led to the rapid development of approaches that integrate multi-sensory measurements to enhance perception capabilities. This paper surveys the latest deep learning integration techniques applied to the perception module in autonomous driving systems, categorizing integration approaches based on "what, how, and when to integrate." A new taxonomy of integration is proposed, based on three dimensions: multi-view, multi-modality, and multi-frame. The integration operations and their pros and cons are summarized, providing new insights into the properties of an "ideal" data integration approach that can alleviate the limitations of existing methods. After reviewing hundreds of relevant papers, this survey concludes with a discussion of the key features of an optimal data integration approach.
Data-driven medium-range weather forecasting has attracted much attention in recent years. However, the forecasting accuracy at high resolution is unsatisfactory currently. Pursuing high-resolution and high-quality weather forecasting, we develop a data-driven model SwinRDM which integrates an improved version of SwinRNN with a diffusion model. SwinRDM performs predictions at 0.25-degree resolution and achieves superior forecasting accuracy to IFS (Integrated Forecast System), the state-of-the-art operational NWP model, on representative atmospheric variables including 500 hPa geopotential (Z500), 850 hPa temperature (T850), 2-m temperature (T2M), and total precipitation (TP), at lead times of up to 5 days. We propose to leverage a two-step strategy to achieve high-resolution predictions at 0.25-degree considering the trade-off between computation memory and forecasting accuracy. Recurrent predictions for future atmospheric fields are firstly performed at 1.40625-degree resolution, and then a diffusion-based super-resolution model is leveraged to recover the high spatial resolution and finer-scale atmospheric details. SwinRDM pushes forward the performance and potential of data-driven models for a large margin towards operational applications.
In recent years, large language models (LLMs) have achieved strong performance on benchmark tasks, especially in zero or few-shot settings. However, these benchmarks often do not adequately address the challenges posed in the real-world, such as that of hierarchical classification. In order to address this challenge, we propose refactoring conventional tasks on hierarchical datasets into a more indicative long-tail prediction task. We observe LLMs are more prone to failure in these cases. To address these limitations, we propose the use of entailment-contradiction prediction in conjunction with LLMs, which allows for strong performance in a strict zero-shot setting. Importantly, our method does not require any parameter updates, a resource-intensive process and achieves strong performance across multiple datasets.
In this paper, we focus on an under-explored issue of biased activation in prior weakly-supervised object localization methods based on Class Activation Mapping (CAM). We analyze the cause of this problem from a causal view and attribute it to the co-occurring background confounders. Following this insight, we propose a novel Counterfactual Co-occurring Learning (CCL) paradigm to synthesize the counterfactual representations via coupling constant foreground and unrealized backgrounds in order to cut off their co-occurring relationship. Specifically, we design a new network structure called Counterfactual-CAM, which embeds the counterfactual representation perturbation mechanism into the vanilla CAM-based model. This mechanism is responsible for decoupling foreground as well as background and synthesizing the counterfactual representations. By training the detection model with these synthesized representations, we compel the model to focus on the constant foreground content while minimizing the influence of distracting co-occurring background. To our best knowledge, it is the first attempt in this direction. Extensive experiments on several benchmarks demonstrate that Counterfactual-CAM successfully mitigates the biased activation problem, achieving improved object localization accuracy.
In most current research, large language models (LLMs) are able to perform reasoning tasks by generating chains of thought through the guidance of specific prompts. However, there still exists a significant discrepancy between their capability in solving complex reasoning problems and that of humans. At present, most approaches focus on chains of thought (COT) and tool use, without considering the adoption and application of human cognitive frameworks. It is well-known that when confronting complex reasoning challenges, humans typically employ various cognitive abilities, and necessitate interaction with all aspects of tools, knowledge, and the external environment information to accomplish intricate tasks. This paper introduces a novel intelligent framework, referred to as OlaGPT. OlaGPT carefully studied a cognitive architecture framework, and propose to simulate certain aspects of human cognition. The framework involves approximating different cognitive modules, including attention, memory, reasoning, learning, and corresponding scheduling and decision-making mechanisms. Inspired by the active learning mechanism of human beings, it proposes a learning unit to record previous mistakes and expert opinions, and dynamically refer to them to strengthen their ability to solve similar problems. The paper also outlines common effective reasoning frameworks for human problem-solving and designs Chain-of-Thought (COT) templates accordingly. A comprehensive decision-making mechanism is also proposed to maximize model accuracy. The efficacy of OlaGPT has been stringently evaluated on multiple reasoning datasets, and the experimental outcomes reveal that OlaGPT surpasses state-of-the-art benchmarks, demonstrating its superior performance. Our implementation of OlaGPT is available on GitHub: \url{https://github.com/oladata-team/OlaGPT}.
Feature selection (FS) plays an important role in machine learning, which extracts important features and accelerates the learning process. In this paper, we propose a deep FS method that simultaneously conducts feature selection and differentiable $ k $-NN graph learning based on the Dirichlet Energy. The Dirichlet Energy identifies important features by measuring their smoothness on the graph structure, and facilitates the learning of a new graph that reflects the inherent structure in the new feature subspace during the training process using selected features. We employ the Gumbel Softmax technique and the Optimal Transport theory to address the non-differentiability issues of learning discrete FS results and learning $ k $-NN graphs in neural networks, which theoretically makes our model applicable to other graph neural networks. Furthermore, the proposed framework is interpretable, since all modules are designed algorithmically. We validate the effectiveness of our model with extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets.
Machine learning systems produce biased results towards certain demographic groups, known as the fairness problem. Recent approaches to tackle this problem learn a latent code (i.e., representation) through disentangled representation learning and then discard the latent code dimensions correlated with sensitive attributes (e.g., gender). Nevertheless, these approaches may suffer from incomplete disentanglement and overlook proxy attributes (proxies for sensitive attributes) when processing real-world data, especially for unstructured data, causing performance degradation in fairness and loss of useful information for downstream tasks. In this paper, we propose a novel fairness framework that performs debiasing with regard to both sensitive attributes and proxy attributes, which boosts the prediction performance of downstream task models without complete disentanglement. The main idea is to, first, leverage gradient-based explanation to find two model focuses, 1) one focus for predicting sensitive attributes and 2) the other focus for predicting downstream task labels, and second, use them to perturb the latent code that guides the training of downstream task models towards fairness and utility goals. We show empirically that our framework works with both disentangled and non-disentangled representation learning methods and achieves better fairness-accuracy trade-off on unstructured and structured datasets than previous state-of-the-art approaches.