Harnessing Disagreement: Detecting Correlated Agreement Blindness in Multi-Agent Triage

Disagreement-triggered escalation can create a structural blind spot in multi-agent arbitration: as base learners improve, they tend to converge, weakening safety monitoring where correlated failures concentrate. We term this correlated agreement blindness and present ARAT (Arbitrated Reasoning Agents for Alarm Triage), a directed-star system combining an inductive Random Forest (RF) agent, an analogical case-based k-nearest neighbour (k-NN) agent, and a calibrated meta-model to mitigate this effect. On 82,332 holdout samples from the UNSW-NB15 network intrusion detection dataset, 57.2% of errors occur under agreement and 90.6% of dangerous under-predictions evade disagreement-based monitoring even after conservative override; ablation shows that strengthening base learners increases error correlation while reducing disagreement. ARAT reduces under-prediction relative to soft voting from 4.80% to 1.70% via conservative override (-2.6pp) and a safety-flag gate (-0.5pp), demonstrating architectural gains. Cross-dataset validation on clinical readmission supports these indicators, suggesting that diversification improves safety only when it generates productive disagreement rather than convergence. These results indicate that disagreement-triggered escalation can be blind to correlated failure, a risk that may intensify as agentic pipelines deploy increasingly capable, correlated models.

Mining Explainable Predictive Features for Water Quality Management

With water quality management processes, identifying and interpreting relationships between features, such as location and weather variable tuples, and water quality variables, such as levels of bacteria, is key to gaining insights and identifying areas where interventions should be made. There is a need for a search process to identify the locations and types of phenomena that are influencing water quality and a need to explain how the quality is being affected and which factors are most relevant. This paper addresses both of these issues. A process is developed for collecting data for features that represent a variety of variables over a spatial region and which are used for training models and inference. An analysis of the performance of the features is undertaken using the models and Shapley values. Shapley values originated in cooperative game theory and can be used to aid in the interpretation of machine learning results. Evaluations are performed using several machine learning algorithms and water quality data from the Dublin Grand Canal basin.